Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?

Originally, he was called Machaca.

cheeto Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?Two problems arose. First, very few people (even here in Arizona) knew what Machaca meant, so we were constantly having to explain it. Second, he just didn’t “seem” like a Machaca.

So, in a flash of four year-old inspiration, my son switched our dog’s name to “Cheeto”, and it fit him snug and tight, like a Cat Woman suit on Halle Berry.

We have no qualms about changing the names of our pets, and in practice we almost always name our pets after a period of getting acquainted, to better devise a name that matches the characteristics and temperament of the animal.

But yet for our own children, we do the exact opposite. Tales of parents not having selected names until after child birth are very much the exception, rather than the rule. We started calling our daughter Annika the second the ultrasound confirmed gender. USA Today proclaimed recently that the Twilight series of books and movies has increased the popularity of characters’ names among American babies. We willingly name our children after Vampires, and do so long before we know whether or not they are even the least bit undead.

We pick our baby names before the fact. We pick our pet names after the fact.

Which pattern matches your social media success metrics?

Ready, Fire, Aim

There are two schools of thought regarding social media effectiveness tracking.

The first is the experimental, dip the toe in the water approach whereby a company begins a modest collection of initiatives to get familiar with the morays and methods of social media. Once the program has been in place for a while, participants and managers get together and try to figure out whether it’s working, and how to modify and/or expand the effort. This is the pet naming program.

The second is the planned, structured, strategic approach whereby a company first determines goals and objectives, and then incrementally adds tactics in an attempt to achieve them. Success metrics are established from day one, with a shared understanding among all team members of how score will be kept. This is the baby naming program.

I’ve worked in both camps, and have seen both succeed. However, my preference is for the baby naming approach – selecting key performance indicators (KPI) before a single Tweet is sent, blog post is written, or Linkedin group is christened.

This is because social media success is inherently slow, not fast. Progress is measured incrementally over time, not immediately over lunch. Rarely are accumulations the best data points. Number of people who “like” you on Facebook. Number of Twitter followers. Number of blog comments. All of these are diagnostic metrics (great post about that by the outrageously smart Christoper S. Penn). What you instead want to emphasize are important customer behaviors, and how those behaviors change over time.

For example, data that shows that in comparison to last month, 15% more people went to your product pricing page after first visiting your Facebook page is a far superior KPI to number of Facebook “likes”. It’s about behavior. And it’s about behavior that leads to dollars.

Premature Calculation

calculator Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?The problem with the pet naming approach is that you end up having the “is this working” conversation when the social media program is already in operation, which forces you to conduct statistical gerrymandering to determine which measures are relevant. This leads to using accumulative numbers as a crutch, because all you have to do is dial up your Facebook page and you can see how many people like you, and you can compare that number to your competitors. Presto! You’re done with the success metrics conversation.

That’s not going to cut it. In fact, despite their Scrooge McDuck-level overreach on the privacy front, Facebook itself is looking to add nuance and behavior to their metrics, moving companies away from the accumulative measurement model. You know all that stuff that we “like” now? They are tracking all of that, and by Christmas, Facebook will be a formidable competitor to Google Analytics. Google’s “7 people who came to your Web site were from New York” is going to seem absurdly basic compared to Facebook’s “here are the names of the people that “liked” your content, how old they are, what college they went to, who their other friends are” etc. etc. etc. etc. etc. etc. etc.

But don’t wait for Facebook. The baby naming approach is better, and you can adopt it now. Get your cross-functional social media team together, and agree on reasonable success metrics before you get started in social media. If you’re already active, but there are people on your team that cannot (without looking it up) name your key success metrics, and from where they’re derived, call a KPI meeting today.

Bring a copy of Twilight to the meeting if you want. Vampires are inspirational.

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Thanks for this on 2 levels:

1. We soon will be bringing home a Golden Retriever puppy. We aren't even close on a name. It was easier naming our children. I like the wait and see approach with liberal "optimization" of the pet's name. I'll show your post to my wife to see if she agrees.

2."Rarely are accumulations the best data points. Number of people who like you on Facebook. Number of Twitter followers. Number of blog comments. All of these are diagnostic metrics" Incredible insight here.

Now the question becomes what does these metrics diagnose? It seems, in the case of Facebook, the proliferation of the Like button makes these numbers EVEN less diagnostic. What do you think?

Last, I see the utility of KPI for retail/transactional situations but how do we assess the other big concerns - brand awareness and engagement?

Yes, @Jaybaer many are having the "is this working conversation. Hilarious, useful post http://ow.ly/1Ofa9

Love the Google 7 people who came to your Web site line - RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

Social Media Success Metrics and Premature Calculation http://bit.ly/baJIJY #socialmedia #PR #Journalismus

Fun&insightful RT @jaybaer Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aRNd66

Social media metric humor. HA /via @Granda84

@myen I like the naming metaphor. RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aRNd66

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aRNd66

Social media metric humor. HA

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aRNd66

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RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi | #yesHeDid

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aRNd66

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aRNd66

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http://bit.ly/aedhTS - Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? #BTCustomerstreet

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? - http://is.gd/chUOj

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?: Originally, he was called Machaca.
Two problems arose. First, very ... http://bit.ly/9gpDxQ

We are creating a social media metrics application at http://www.twentyfeet.com that will centralize all your web stats in one place. We only have twitter, facebook and bit.ly so far. But I would love to get feedback from you guys about it, as soon as it gets live in the next weeks.

I know, that you still might think that all this service offers is "premature analytics" in the sense of your blog post. But isn't it a step in the right direction? I am looking forward to hear your thoughts.

http://su.pr/1arcQn - Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?

Social Media Success Metrics and Premature Calculation | Social Media Staffing and Operations | Social Media Consu... http://bit.ly/cwNdAF

Thanks for this on 2 levels:

1. We soon will be bringing home a Golden Retriever puppy. We aren't even close on a name. It was easier naming our children. I like the wait and see approach with liberal "optimization" of the pet's name. I'll show your post to my wife to see if she agrees.

2."Rarely are accumulations the best data points. Number of people who “like” you on Facebook. Number of Twitter followers. Number of blog comments. All of these are diagnostic metrics" Incredible insight here.

Now the question becomes what does these metrics diagnose? It seems, in the case of Facebook, the proliferation of the Like button makes these numbers EVEN less diagnostic. What do you think?

Last, I see the utility of KPI for retail/transactional situations but how do we assess the other big concerns - brand awareness and engagement?

RT @InternetCoachFR Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/9cK3K0

KPI-Twitter Dysfunction (KTD): 'Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?' - http://j.mp/aRNd66

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://ow.ly/1OQPi

http://su.pr/1arcQn - Interesting read: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?

http://cot.ag/a5H1hD Our friend, Jay Baer, comments on how companies track social media effectiveness

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? Or: How to apply KPIs to your social media strategy (via @jaybaer) http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

Social Media Success Metrics and Premature Calculation | Social Media Staffing and Operations | Social Media http://ow.ly/17r2Xa

Great post,

What you are discussing is consistent with; branding with intention versus Branding by default as I discuss in my eBook: Branding backwards. Far too many companies practice ready fire aim, and one day wake up and find the market has branded their product and services and it is not 100% accurate.
We must set out with intention.
If your readers want to download my eBook they can do so for free at my blog.

Mark Allen Roberts

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi - better late than never. good read.

Social Media Success Metrics and Premature Calculation http://goo.gl/mXC5

Are You Suffering from Premature Calculation? great discourse on social media analysis http://ht.ly/1ODcb

RT @suzannevara @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi re social media. Thanks Suzanne for tweeting it

Super interesting, thank you! Coca-Cola just took me on a free trip to Shanghai with 22 other bloggers from Australia and Asia. They don't know really what to do with us or how to handle social media but they know they need to get involved. I hope companies can work out a solution that benefits bloggers as well as the company business:)

Social Media Success Metrics and Premature Calculation | Social Media Staffing and Operations | Social Media http://ow.ly/17r2Xa

RT @jaybaer: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

(lolz title) GREAT post from @jaybaer - "Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation?" - http://ow.ly/1Ol8r

RT @jaybaer: Is your social media strategy based on pet names, or baby names? http://ilnk.me/2adc

Yes, I am taking the link bait. A good #socmedia #measure article though. Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://dld.bz/eyGg

Yes, @Jaybaer many are having the "“is this working” conversation. Hilarious, useful post http://ow.ly/1Ofa9

We're making babies RT @swoodruff Social Media Success Metrics and Premature Calculation | Convince & Convert (@jaybaer) http://ow.ly/1O3uK

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/aZlCYi RT @jaybaer:

@jaybaer GREAT post on Baby Naming vs Pet Naming Soc Media Strategy! http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://ow.ly/1NUZR

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://ht.ly/1NPeQ @jaybaer (Social media strategy: experimental or planned? )

Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? @jaybaer: http://bit.ly/aZlCYi

RT @bkmacdaddy: Are You Suffering From Premature Calculation? http://bit.ly/cCtdoc